Preseason polls are useless, inaccurate and hopelessly biased. Other than that they are great.
There is a decent argument against preseason ranking at all, but as an honored member of the BlogPoll we do our duty and submit a poll. I try to take it as seriously as I can (I considered and abandoned the idea of ranking teams alphabetically preseason as a bit too cute, though I imagine Air Force would appreciate it). So in my effort to be serious I have used a recruiting based ranking system for two years now that has held up as well – if not better - than the traditional methods.
Using the same methods this season I have now submitted my preseason BlogPoll entry. (NOTE: I had previously posted what I thought would be my preseason poll, but discovered a crucial data error. The correct poll is below)
As a resume voter my poll will look entirely different after week one. But since week 1 polls are irrelevant (there is no prize for being ranked 1st after the first week) whether my preseason poll is “accurate” will depend on how the final polls look.
As for my resume method I’ll be looking at the following games closely that first week –
Oregon at Boise State
Georgia at Oklahoma State
BYU at Oklahoma
Alabama vs Virginia Tech
My number one team after the first week will likely be the winner of either the UGA – Oklahoma State contest, or the Alabama – VT game, depending on relative impressiveness of victory.
Florida will fall hard and fast in my rankings for starting with such a soft opponent, regardless of margin of victory. And while I’m sure this will cause some of you chagrin, Florida will have the opportunity to rise if impressive victories mount. I just refuse to give a team credit for beating a lower division team at home as, in essence, we won’t know a thing about this Gator team after the first game (unless of course they lose or Charleston Southern keeps it close).