Sagarin vs. Vegas, Weekly Picks

For an explanation of the Sagarin System I am using, click this link. Vegas spreads are from Pinnacle Sports and are published here.

This week's picks:

Hawaii at Nevada
Vegas Favorite: Hawaii -6
Sagarin Predictor Rating for Hawaii: 79.09
Sagarin Predictor Rating for Nevada: 64.58
Sagarin Spread after accounting for home field: Hawaii -11.87

Sagarin suggests: Take the Rainbow Warriors and lay the 6.

Mississippi State at Arkansas
Vegas Favorite: Arkansas -11
Sagarin Predictor Rating for MSU: 71.2
Sagarin Predictor Rating for Arkansas: 83.91
Sagarin Spread: Arky -12.71

Sagarin suggests: Take the Hawgs and lay the 11

Duke at Notre Dame
Vegas Favorite: Notre Dame -6.5
Sagarin Predictor Rating for Duke: 60.71
Sagarin Predictor Rating for ND: 61.52
Sagarin Spread after accounting for home field: ND -3.45

Sagarin suggests: Take Duke and get 6.5 points.

Kentucky at Georgia
Vegas Favorite: Georgia -7.5
Sagarin Predictor Rating for UK: 82.36
Sagarin Predictor Rating for UGA: 83.25
Sagarin Spread after accounting for home field: UGA -3.53

Sagarin suggests: Take the Wildcats and the 7.5 points, this will be a close game

Northwestern at Illinois
Vegas Favorite: Illinois -13.5
Sagarin Predictor Rating for Northwestern: 66.64
Sagarin Predictor Rating for Illinois: 83.24
Sagarin Spread after accounting for home field: Illinois -16.6

Sagarin suggests: The Zookheads and lay the 13.5 points.

Note: Sagarin has again moved the home field adjustment number, it's now 2.64 points.

Wrap Up: We're taking three favorites (Hawaii, Miss. State and Illinois) and two underdogs (Duke and Kentucky).

Check back in on Sunday to see the weekly and year to date results.