Each week, I am pre-selecting 3 games and placing an imaginary wager of $110 (to win $100) on the team that Sagarin's Predictor Ratings suggests.
The system is explained in detail here.
The NCAA odds & lines I'm using come from betus.com
So here's this week's picks:
Florida vs. GeorgiaSo we're taking two favorites this week (Florida and Utah) and one underdogs (Iowa). Good luck.
Vegas Favorite: Florida -6.5
Sagarin Predictor Rating for Florida: 99.9
Sagarin Predictor Rating for Georgia: 85.9
Sagarin Spread (No home field adjustment, neutral site): Florida -14
Sagarin suggests: Take favored Gators and lay the 6.5 points, they're two touchdowns better than those mangy dawgs.
Iowa at Illinois
Vegas Favorite: Illinois -2.5
Sagarin Predictor Rating for Iowa: 86.84
Sagarin Predictor Rating for Illinois: 78.36
Sagarin Spread after accounting for home field (2.68 pts): Iowa -5.8
Sagarin suggests: Take the underdog Hawkeyes and get 2.5 points.
Utah at New Mexico
Vegas Favorite: Utah -7.5
Sagarin Predictor Rating for Utah: 82.38
Sagarin Predictor Rating for New Mexico: 66.15
Sagarin Spread after accounting for home field (2.68 pts): Utah -13.55
Sagarin suggests: Take the Utes and lay the 7.5.