Each week, I am pre-selecting 3 games and placing an imaginary wager of $110 (to win $100) on the team that Sagarin's Predictor Ratings suggests.
The system is explained in detail here.
The NCAA football betting lines I'm using come from betus.com
So here's this week's picks:
Georgia Tech at ClemsonSo we're taking one favorite this week (Georgia Tech) and two underdogs (Duke and Vandy). Good luck.
Vegas Favorite: GT -2.5
Sagarin Predictor Rating for GT: 82.71
Sagarin Predictor Rating for Clemson: 74.39
Sagarin Spread after accounting for home field (2.78 pts): GT -5.54
Sagarin suggests: Take the Ramblin' Wreck of Georgia Tech and lay the 2.5 points.
Miami at Duke
Vegas Favorite: Miami -3
Sagarin Predictor Rating for Miami: 73.82
Sagarin Predictor Rating for Duke: 77.88
Sagarin Spread after accounting for home field (2.78 pts): Duke -6.84
Sagarin suggests: Take the underdog Blue Devils and the 3 points, they are a TD better than the Hurricanes
Vanderbilt at Georgia
Vegas Favorite: Georgia -14.5
Sagarin Predictor Rating for Vandy: 78.03
Sagarin Predictor Rating for Georgia: 86.56
Sagarin Spread after accounting for home field (2.78 pts): Georgia -11.31
Sagarin suggests: Take the Vandy and the 14.5 points.