Monday, November 30, 2009

Week 13 Power Rankings

Staying with our recently revised methodology we have this –


1 Florida 2.2538
2 Alabama 2.1612
3 Texas 2.0027
4 TCU 1.9520
5 Boise St. 1.7545
6 Cincinnati 1.7171
7 Ohio St. 1.6928
8 Oregon 1.6760
9 Penn St. 1.6693
10 Virginia Tech 1.5800
11 Iowa 1.5362
12 Oklahoma 1.4827
13 Pittsburgh 1.4336
14 Georgia Tech 1.4015
15 Miami (FL) 1.3923
16 Nebraska 1.3336
17 Houston 1.3197
18 Oklahoma St. 1.3105
19 Wisconsin 1.3024
20 Oregon St. 1.2888
21 BYU 1.2784
22 Arkansas 1.2767
23 Clemson 1.2712
24 LSU 1.2700
25 Texas Tech 1.2312

For the most part, I like it. Sure Oklahoma has 5 losses, but they looked like a pretty decent team this past Saturday. We know they would beat number 18 here in Oklahoma State.

I also urge people viewing this not to get too caught up in the ranking numbers (1 through 25), but instead focus on the ranking score. Florida is very close to Alabama, but nearly twice as “good” as Texas Tech by these rankings. What you should take away from this is that Florida should play a very close game to, say ‘Bama or Texas, but likely beat Oklahoma very handily (52% better score than Oklahoma). Likewise Arkansas and LSU are nearly equals, and we saw that this past weekend.

And to eat up some bandwidth, here are the rest –

26 West Virginia 1.2198
27 Central Mich. 1.2166
28 North Carolina 1.2151
29 Southern California 1.2054
30 Arizona 1.1914
31 California 1.1724
32 Rutgers 1.1394
33 Mississippi 1.1324
34 Missouri 1.1105
35 Connecticut 1.1077
36 South Fla. 1.0972
37 Fresno St. 1.0961
38 Utah 1.0960
39 Air Force 1.0873
40 Stanford 1.0779
41 Auburn 1.0763
42 Troy 1.0595
43 Tennessee 1.0575
44 Georgia 1.0544
45 Mississippi St. 1.0295
46 UCF 1.0278
47 Navy 1.0216
48 Nevada 1.0202
49 South Carolina 0.9998
50 Florida St. 0.9996
51 Boston College 0.9942
52 East Carolina 0.9913
53 Michigan St. 0.9665
54 Temple 0.9336
55 Ohio 0.9231
56 Kentucky 0.9159
57 Notre Dame 0.9131
58 Bowling Green 0.8855
59 Minnesota 0.8774
60 Kansas 0.8555
61 Louisiana Tech 0.8147
62 Texas A&M 0.8114
63 UCLA 0.8088
64 North Carolina St. 0.8071
65 Southern Miss. 0.8021
66 Arizona St. 0.8008
67 Middle Tenn. 0.7893
68 Northern Ill. 0.7885
69 Kansas St. 0.7859
70 Purdue 0.7859
71 Washington 0.7852
72 SMU 0.7850
73 Northwestern 0.7786
74 Wake Forest 0.7762
75 Utah St. 0.7658
76 Michigan 0.7649
77 Buffalo 0.7613
78 Iowa St. 0.7580
79 Baylor 0.7472
80 Syracuse 0.7453
81 UNLV 0.7356
82 Marshall 0.7274
83 Illinois 0.7224
84 Idaho 0.7155
85 Virginia 0.7086
86 Louisville 0.7061
87 La.-Monroe 0.6850
88 Tulsa 0.6846
89 Colorado 0.6785
90 Arkansas St. 0.6770
91 UAB 0.6745
92 Duke 0.6706
93 Wyoming 0.6596
94 Indiana 0.6562
95 Vanderbilt 0.6351
96 FIU 0.6296
97 San Diego St. 0.6290
98 Hawaii 0.6282
99 La.-Lafayette 0.6263
100 Fla. Atlantic 0.6244
101 Colorado St. 0.6190
102 Toledo 0.6112
103 Memphis 0.6008
104 Maryland 0.5963
105 UTEP 0.5793
106 North Texas 0.5665
107 Akron 0.5572
108 Miami (OH) 0.5431
109 Kent St. 0.5333
110 Ball St. 0.5243
111 San Jose St. 0.5088
112 Tulane 0.4875
113 Western Mich. 0.4649
114 Western Ky. 0.4578
115 Rice 0.4463
116 New Mexico 0.4445
117 Army 0.4243
118 Washington St. 0.4134
119 Eastern Mich. 0.3788
120 New Mexico St. 0.3308

2 comments:

ConnGator said...

Anyone concerned that Florida has not played anyone in the top 20 on this list? And we struggled with the two in the top 25? We beat:

22
24
42
43
44
45
49
50
56
95
96

and Charleston Southern. I wish we played a better non-conf schedule.

mametester said...

I'm not sure how you get a PowerRanking of 2.2538 for Florida:

SD = 9.83/9.83 = 1.00
SO = 36.50/44.92 = 0.8126
W/L Value = 1.00
SoS = 0.5487

(SD + SO + W/L Value) * SoS = Power Value

(1.00 + 0.8126 + 1.00) * 0.5487 = 1.5432