Sunday, October 28, 2007

Sagarin vs. Vegas, weekly results


For an explanation of the Sagarin System I am using, click this link. Vegas spreads are from Pinnacle Sports and are published here.

This week's picks:

Boston College at Virginia Tech
Vegas Favorite: Virginia Tech -3
Sagarin suggested: BC +3 points

Result: BC wins outright, +$100

Florida vs. Georgia
Vegas Favorite: Florida -7.5
Sagarin suggested: Take the Gators and lay the 7.5 points

Result: UGA wins outright, -$110

USC at Oregon
Vegas Favorite: Oregon -3
Sagarin suggested: Take the Ducks and lay the 3 points

Result: Oregon wins and covers, +$100

Ohio State at Penn State
Vegas Favorite: Ohio State -3.5
Sagarin suggested: Take OSU and lay the 3.5 points.

Result: OSU wins and covers, +$100

Ball State at Illinois
Vegas Favorite: Illinois -13
Sagarin suggested: Take the Cardinals and the 13 points.

Result: The Cards lose but cover, +$100
Weekly Results Summary: Sag's computer went 4-1 and is up $290 for the week.

Year to date results summary: 16-24, -$1040

Going the other way: 24-16, +$640

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Thanks for doing all this work. FWIW, I tracked all of the games last week, and against the final spread (as posted on www.scoresandodds.com) Sagarin was 20-27 for a 42.55% win percentage. So, your weekly results are heavily skewed by the games you're picking (though your season results are more representative of the overall actual results). Also, I found a website called www.thepredictiontracker.com that shows historical performances of a ton of team-picking systems including the Sagarin Predictor.