Wednesday, October 03, 2007

Sagarin vs. Vegas, Weekly Picks

For an explanation of the Sagarin System I am using, click this link. Vegas spreads are from Pinnacle Sports and are published here. By the way, the Sagarin "system" is proving to be a great way to lose money, or win it you bet against the recommendations. His super computer, which I have dubbed HAL 9000, is 6-14.

This week's picks:

Kentucky at South Carolina
Vegas Favorite: Cocks -3.5
Sagarin Predictor Rating for Cocks: 77.81
Sagarin Predictor Rating for UK: 83.44
Sagarin Spread after accounting for home field: UK -2.7

Sagarin suggests: That the wrong team is favored, take UK and the 3.5 points Vegas will give you.
Wisconsin at Illinois
Vegas Favorite: Illinois -2.5
Sagarin Predictor Rating for Illinois: 76.9
Sagarin Predictor Rating for Wisky: 76.78
Sagarin Spread after accounting for home field: Illinois -3.05

Sagarin suggests: A lean toward Illinois, lay the 2.5 points.
Georgia at Tennessee
Vegas Favorite: UT -1.5
Sagarin Predictor Rating for UT: 77.37
Sagarin Predictor Rating for UGA: 82.55
Sagarin Spread after accounting for home field: UGA -2.25

Sagarin suggests: That thewrong team is favored. Take UGA and the 1.5 points.

Oklahoma vs. Texas
Vegas Favorite: Oklahoma -11
Sagarin Predictor Rating for Texas: 79.11
Sagarin Predictor Rating for Oklahoma: 99.11
Sagarin Spread: Oklahoma -20

Sagarin suggests: Oklahoma and lay the 11.

Virgina Tech at Clemson
Vegas Favorite: Clemson -5
Sagarin Predictor Rating for Clemson: 76.09
Sagarin Predictor Rating for VT: 75.63
Sagarin Spread after accounting for home field: Clemson -3.39

Sagarin suggests: Take Virginia Tech and the 5 points.
Wrap up: We're taking 3 underdogs (Kentucky, Georgia, and Virginia Tech) and 2 favorites (Illinois and Oklahoma).

Stay tuned for results on Sunday. As I mentioned before, Sagarin is 6-14, so far this season. We'll see if he and his computer can do better this week.

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