Sagarin vs. Vegas, weekly picks

For an explanation of the Sagarin System I am using, click this link. Vegas spreads are from Pinnacle Sports and are published here.

This week's picks:

Texas A&M at Miami (FL)
Vegas Favorite: Miami
Vegas Spread: 2
Sagarin Predictor Rating for Miami: 71.90
Sagarin Predictor Rating for A&M: 81.15
Sagarin Home advantage: 2.93
Sagarin Spread: A&M -6.43

Sagarin suggests: Take A&M and get 2 points

Illinois at Indiana
Vegas Favorite: Illinois
Vegas Spread: 2.5
Sagarin Predictor Rating for Illinois: 72.73
Sagarin Predictor Rating for Indiana: 71.60
Sagarin Home advantage: 2.93
Sagarin Spread: Indiana -1.8

Sagarin suggests: Take the home dog Indiana and the 2.5 points

Georgia at Alabama
Vegas Favorite: 'Bama
Vegas Spread: 3.5
Sagarin Predictor Rating for 'Bama: 82.48
Sagarin Predictor Rating for UGA: 74.03
Sagarin Home advantage: 2.93
Sagarin Spread: Alabama -11.48

Sagarin suggests: Take 'Bama and lay the 3.5 points

Penn State at Michigan
Vegas Favorite: PSU
Vegas Spread: 3.0
Sagarin Predictor Rating for Michigan: 68.59
Sagarin Predictor Rating for PSU: 75.84
Sagarin Home advantage: 2.93
Sagarin Spread: PSU -4.32

Sagarin suggests: Take PSU and lay the 3 points

Kentucky at Arkansas
Vegas Favorite: Arkansas
Vegas Spread: -7
Sagarin Predictor Rating for Arky: 83.70
Sagarin Predictor Rating for UK: 81.15
Sagarin Home advantage: 2.93
Sagarin Spread: Arkansas -5.48

Sagarin suggests: Take UK and the 7 points

Wrap up: We're taking 3 underdogs (A&M, Indiana and Kentucky) and two favorites (Alabama and Penn State).

Stay tuned for results on Sunday. Sagarin went 3-2 in week 1 and 1-4 in week 2. We'll see if he and his computer can get us back in the black this week.