tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35816861.post5453057018486242429..comments2023-10-14T05:50:09.559-04:00Comments on Saurian Sagacity: The Official Blog for Inquisitive Florida Gators Fans: Saurian Sagacity Power PollHenry Louis Gomezhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03167391252653145914noreply@blogger.comBlogger12125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35816861.post-39044177893706246612007-10-09T13:18:00.000-04:002007-10-09T13:18:00.000-04:00Anon - there "ain't" nothing perfect out there, an...Anon - there "ain't" nothing perfect out there, and this qualifies, though it is as good as anything else I have seen. Plus, I think your worry is aimed in the wrong direction. Take a look at our actual BlogPoll vote in the post above. You will see we put Cal 3rd (and it was a very close call against OSU at 2nd). Our own Gators are unranked.<BR/><BR/>This Power Poll (as I call it) exercise is a Mergzhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13815816581678431340noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35816861.post-5617278289201060152007-10-09T11:48:00.000-04:002007-10-09T11:48:00.000-04:00The NCAA numbers might be correct, yet it still ig...The NCAA numbers might be correct, yet it still ignores D-1AA competition (I know for a fact that it ignores them, because Cal's opponents would have a 10-11 record). Any calculation that ENCOURAGES playing teams from a lower division is absurd. <BR/><BR/>Secondly, what is the value of the record of one's opponents? Ohio State defeated a previously undefeated Purdue, and thus gets 5 wins added toAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35816861.post-91993018077567957332007-10-09T10:13:00.000-04:002007-10-09T10:13:00.000-04:00Anon – The NCAA strength are correct. Cal’s oppone...Anon – The NCAA strength are correct. Cal’s opponents have gone 8-11 when you take out Cal’s record against them (5-0). The NCAA calculates SOS this way, and it is the only way it makes sense because you can’t get an accurate SOS when you include your own efforts against them.<BR/><BR/>You might want to check out what you are complaining about before you put it to print, so to say. Ignorance Mergzhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13815816581678431340noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35816861.post-84173272733186714222007-10-08T23:48:00.000-04:002007-10-08T23:48:00.000-04:00I'll ignore my advice and continue ripping this to...I'll ignore my advice and continue ripping this to shreds.<BR/><BR/>The strength of schedule stats as calculated by the NCAA encourage teams to play D-1AA teams instead of bad D-1A teams. Is a winless D-1A team better than a winless D-1AA team? Probably, but not if you listen to the NCAA. On one hand you have 12 losses added to your opponent's winning percentage, and on the other you have a Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35816861.post-5295035975969761932007-10-08T23:03:00.000-04:002007-10-08T23:03:00.000-04:00Net yards completely ignores an important aspect o...Net yards completely ignores an important aspect of the game: Special Teams. Teams can win and lose games on special teams, yet special teams play would only have an incidental effect on the net yardage numbers. Any effect would be woefully insufficient to account for such a crucial part of the game. I could attempt to refute your rankings, but I will not bother myself over rankings so Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35816861.post-43364767625854031182007-10-08T22:39:00.000-04:002007-10-08T22:39:00.000-04:00The NCAA strength of schedule numbers are incorrec...The NCAA strength of schedule numbers are incorrect. Cal's opponents have gone a combined 8-16 not 8-11 versus D-1A competition. I understand that this makes Cal's schedule look worse, but it also calls into question the accuracy of the statistics employed.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35816861.post-46553121005621525012007-10-08T22:18:00.000-04:002007-10-08T22:18:00.000-04:00I realize that it's blog and you can poll if you w...I realize that it's blog and you can poll if you want to, and the idea is intriguing.<BR/><BR/>However, while the net yardage does quantify the relative strengths of the defenses and offenses, as you correctly note, that does not always lead to points.<BR/><BR/>One wonders what the impact of a % of possessions scored less opponents % of possessions scored might yield or including a giveaway /Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35816861.post-41025424243769729032007-10-08T19:16:00.000-04:002007-10-08T19:16:00.000-04:00Kevinh - I agree wins are the most important, that...Kevinh - I agree wins are the most important, that's why I weight it so heavily in my BlogPoll. I was looking for something else here, something to indicate teams "quality" based on some recognized stats. <BR/><BR/>Anon- I'll take a look at it. Sounds interesting.<BR/><BR/>Cal Fans (I know you are coming) - I have nothing against Cal, they are a top 3 team in my BlogPoll. But they haven't played Mergzhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13815816581678431340noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35816861.post-61459511182391612552007-10-08T18:19:00.000-04:002007-10-08T18:19:00.000-04:00Have you thought about using the DVOA% and DAVE% s...Have you thought about using the DVOA% and DAVE% statistics that the guys at FootballOutsiders.com have applied to weighting NFL teams? It's some really cool stuff, and you're bound to get better comparison numbers from 120 teams than 32.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35816861.post-74829156939234789682007-10-08T17:58:00.000-04:002007-10-08T17:58:00.000-04:00Oh, and one comment about the power poll. You hav...Oh, and one comment about the power poll. You have to weight the win/loss much higher than that (or however you did it). That is THE most important stat out there by far, and you know it (aka resume based polling)Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35816861.post-76545037904474350422007-10-08T17:53:00.000-04:002007-10-08T17:53:00.000-04:00Ha! I read your column almost everyday, and that's...Ha! I read your column almost everyday, and that's the first time I've commented! And I get a whole article! Thanks! By the way, I love the site and the statistical analysis. I've gotten sick of the same old shit from the announcers regurgitating the same thing the last guy said. Thanks for the originality and Go Gators!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35816861.post-71562902975357061982007-10-08T15:19:00.000-04:002007-10-08T15:19:00.000-04:00Batten down the hatches.Batten down the hatches.Henry Louis Gomezhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03167391252653145914noreply@blogger.com